Vote gap narrows as Grits, not Tories, get post-budget bounce
Ipsos Reid poll – With the budget now passed as a result of Liberal support, and with the Conservatives put on ‘probation’ by Mr. Ignatieff, a new Ipsos Reid poll conducted on behalf of Canwest News Service and Global Television has revealed a narrowing of the gap between the Tories and the Grits.
If an election were to be held tomorrow, Stephen Harper’s Conservatives would receive support from 37% of decided voters (down 2 points), while the Liberals under the leadership of Michael Ignatieff would garner 31% support (up 3 points). The Liberals have steadily been closing the gap between themselves and the Conservatives from 23 points at the beginning of December to just 6 points currently.
The NDP led by Jack Layton would receive 14% of the vote (down 1 point), and the Green Party under Elizabeth May would receive 7% support (down 2 points). The Bloc has the support of 42% of Quebecers (10% nationally), an increase of 7 points. Five percent (5%) of voters remain undecided.
Support for the major parties varies by region:
• In British Columbia, the Conservatives (48%) continue to hold a commanding lead over the Liberals (24%) and NDP (20%), while the Green Party (6%) trails behind.
• In Alberta, the Conservatives (70%) dominate the landscape, while the Liberals (17%), Greens (7%) and NDP {4%) are well back.
• In Saskatchewan and Manitoba, the Conservatives have 55% support, followed by the Liberals (22%), NDP (15%) and Green Party (8%).
• In seat-rich Ontario, the Liberals (39%) have overtaken the Conservatives (37%), and the NDP (14%) and Greens (10%) are far behind.
• In Quebec, the Bloc (42%) widens its lead over the Liberals (24%), Conservatives (18%), NDP (11%) and Green Party (10%).
• In Atlantic Canada, the Liberals (48%) are on top, followed by the NDP (25%) and the Conservatives (24%), while the Green Party lags (4%).
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